Sea Change: Nordic-Baltic Security in a New Era

Copiright CEPA

230928 Prompted by Russia’s war in Ukraine, the countries of the Baltic Sea region are belatedly building coherent security architecture, but revanchist Russia poses grave challenges. Time is short.

• Prompted by Russia’s war in Ukraine, the countries of the Baltic Sea region are belatedly building coherent security architecture, but revanchist Russia poses grave challenges. Time is short.

• Consensus about the gravity and breadth of the threat from Russia is emerging. Agreement about how to counter it is patchier.

• The military threat from Russia to the Baltic states casts a much wider shadow. Allies near and far must help with better plans and more weapons to deter, predict, forestall, and, if necessary, repel an attack.

• Getting non-military resilience right makes war less likely.

• Annual public assessments of the threat, and of the level of resilience, will raise awareness among the public and decision-makers, set benchmarks, and encourage exchanges of expertise.

• Fixing the region’s security means overcoming deep historical, economic, and cultural divisions. It is feasible, but at a substantial political and economic cost.

• A successful regional, multinational, and allied approach to integrated security would be a template for other NATO regions.

See the full article on Cepa.org By Edward Lucas, Catherine Sendak, Charlotta Collén, Jan Kallberg and Krista Viksnins

https://cepa.org/comprehensive-reports/sea-change-nordic-baltic-security-in-a-new-era/